Technical Analysis: Colors on the Canvas of Fundamental Analysis
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Fundamental Analysis is the canvas and Technical Analysis is the colors on it. Trade with the combination and you can have the beautiful painting or shall we say a healthy bank account?:)
Market moves because of Fundamental factors, Psychological aspects and sentiments. For short term trading the later two i.e. psychology and sentiments play a big role. Short term trading is not just the fundamental analysis but the analysis of how various trading floors are thinking and behaving. Technical indicators help us analyzing the market-mood by analyzing how the market is moving. Technical indicators also become very important as the traders on the big trading floors also make their trading decisions based on the same indicators. But then when everyone is following more or less the same technical indicators for trading decisions then everyone should be making money? Well, the indicator would show a different picture if you are using a 30-minute chart or a daily chart. The skills lie in comparing different charts of different periods and then making your analysis.
Technical indicators in Technical Analysis help us in analyzing the following:
1) Trend of the market: Whether there is an uptrend or downtrend or whether the market is moving sideways or without a trend.
2) If market has a trend then whether the trend is strong and hence offer us the opportunity to enter the market in the direction of its movement? What it means is if there is a uptrend which is strong then we can still buy but if there is an uptrend but it’s getting weaker then the market direction may reverse.
3) If the market is running sideways or in range then at what point we should buy and at what point we should sell or short-sell.
Technical analysis is broken into two main categories:
a) Chart patterns/trend lines (visual)
and
b) Indicators (mathematical)
An over view of some important Technical Indicators:
SAR (Stop and Reversal):
• To determine whether a trend is ending and/or a new trend may start.
Bollinger Bands:
• To measure market’s volatility.
• To Give buying /selling signals during non-trending /sideways market.
• To Have an idea when the market may enter into a trend while running sideways.
MACD:
• To identify a new trend
Stochastic:
• To identify where a trend might be ending and/or a new trend may start (indicating over bought/oversold levels)
RSI:
• To identify whether a trend might be ending and/or a new trend may start (over bought /over sold levels).
• RSI also can be used to confirm trend formations.
Moving Average:
• To know resistance and support in sideways market
• To identify trend reversal
ADX:
• To know the strength of the trend
Fibonacci:
• To know the probable support and resistance levels.
About the Author
The author is a Forex Trader and also runs ForexAbode.com. By qualification a graduate mechanical engineer, with over 20 years of diversified international experience. The Involvement with Forex Trading started in the year 2000. Over the years Forex Trading not only became the greatest passion but evolved into a success which could replace the traditional successful consulting and business development career. More details at Technical Analysis Page of ForexAbode.com/
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